Apr 192021
 

If lock-downs, mask mandates, talk of vaccine passports, and the daily efforts of the Establishment parties and media to cancel, fine, or imprison those who speak out against such abuse of power has you feeling down, dispirited, or hopeless, this message is for you. If you think that the next election will not change anything because the Progressive Conservatives, Liberals, NDP, and Greens are all in favour of these oppressive Coronavirus policies, this message is definitely for you, and for anyone who feels similarly doubtful about the next election changing anything for the better.

This is not an empty, pro-freedom “rah-rah we can do it” rant. We’ve all read those and found them to give no real reasons to think the next election will be any different from the past. No, what I here offer you is: mathematics; mathematics that will crush the arguments of those who attempt to tell you that you are throwing your vote away unless you vote Progressive Conservative, Liberal, or NDP; mathematics that will show you how easy it is actually to beat the Progressive Conservatives, Liberals, and NDP.


Ignore the man behind the curtain?

L. Frank Baum’s “Wizard of Oz” turned out to be a flabby, snake-oil selling, phony of a man, hiding behind a curtain encircling a smoke-and-mirrors machine that made a giant, scary, “great and powerful Oz” seem to appear in the court of his castle.  The political media are tools with a similar purpose.  They make flabby, snake-oil selling phonies – i.e., political parties (and their leaders) – appear to be unbeatable, powerful, biblical Goliaths.

Each election, you’ve been told – by Liberals, Progressive Conservatives, or the vestigial/oldstream media  – that the public heavily supports the PCs, or the Liberals. Polls are trotted out by TV, radio, and newspaper newsmedia – almost all of which are owned by the same two or three huge, publicly-traded corporations – to convince you that the Liberals or the Progressive Conservatives have the support of, say, 42% of those polled, and that the other party is “trailing” at 32%, or “closing the gap” at 39%, etc.. But it is all smoke and mirrors. The simple fact of the matter is that the winners of provincial elections have nowhere near that amount of support. Parties win elections with very little support at all.

 

The election results pull back the curtain

Do not take my word for it. And ditch the deliberately-manipulative push-polls that misrepresented how much voter support the parties had.  Let’s look at the actual results of past elections.

Freedom Party of Ontario was founded in 1984, so we’ll use that as our starting point. The following table shows which party won each of the last 10 elections, how many seats they won, what percentage of ballots were cast in favour of that party, and what percentage of eligible voters voted for that party.

Ontario Election Voter Turnout Winning Party Number of Seats Won Percentage of All Ballots Cast Percentage of All Eligible Voters Who Voted for the Winning Party
1985 61.5% Progressive Conservative

(Frank Miller)

52

(of 125)

37.0% 22.8%
1987 62.7% Liberal

(David Peterson)

95
(of 130)
47.3% 29.7%
1990 64.4% NDP

(Bob Rae)

74
(of 130)
37.6% 24.2%
1995 62.9% Progressive Conservative

(Mike Harris)

82
(of 130)
44.8% 28.2%
1999 58.3% Progressive Conservative

(Mike Harris)

59
(of 103)
45.1% 26.3%
2003 56.8% Liberal

(Dalton McGuinty)

72
(of 103)
46.4% 26.4%
2007 52.1% Liberal

(Dalton McGuinty)

71
(of 107)
42.3% 22%
2011 48.2% Liberal

(Dalton McGuinty)

53
(of 107)
37.7% 18.2%
2014 51.3% Liberal

(Kathleen Wynne)

58
(of 107)
38.7% 19.9%
2018 56.7% Progressive Conservative

(Doug Ford)

76
(of 124)
40.5% 23%

Unless you normally think about such data, you might find the rightmost column, above (Percentage of All Eligible Voters Who Voted for the Winning Party), to be quite shocking. In all of the last 10 Ontario provincial elections, the party winning the greatest number of seats needed the votes of less than 30% of all eligible voters, to win. They needed the votes of as few as 18.2% of all eligible voters to win. In most of those cases, they formed a majority government (meaning that, because they won more than half of the seats in the legislature, the opposition parties could not defeat the passage into law of any new government bills). Indeed, the Liberals formed a majority government in 2014, even though 80.1% of the electorate did not vote for them. It needed the support of just 19.9% of eligible voters to have essentially dictatory power over the lives of 100% of Ontario’s residents.

The most recent election was little different. 77% of Ontario’s eligible voters did not vote for Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative candidates. With the support of fewer than 1 in 4 voters, Ford’s PCs scooped 76 of Ontario’s 124 seats. With the resulting majority government, he has used governmental power to destroy the lives, severely restrict the liberties, and seize the property of the people whose lives, liberty, and property he was elected to defend. Just 23% of eligible voters made the current abuse of governmental authority possible. Another 19% handed the NDP 40 seats in the same election. 11.1% handed the widely-reviled Liberals 7 seats. With the support of only 2.6% of eligible voters, even the Green Party was able to win a seat.

My point, of course, is that the media feeds you a false impression that winning parties have a lot of supporters. They don’t. A party can turn the province into its totalitarian plaything with the support of less than 20% of eligible voters.

Now, consider this. It is obvious that the most important issue facing all Ontarians at present is the government’s response to Coronavirus. It is also obvious that Ontario’s Liberal, NDP, and Green parties complain not that Ford’s PC government is being too oppressive, but that he is being too lax, when it comes to things like stay-at-home-orders, mask mandates, etc.. No matter how tightly Ford’s PCs choose to tighten the screws, the other parties want them tightened even more. And, to be certain, voters who are in favour of such intrusions on your freedom will again vote PC, Liberal, NDP or Green in the June 2022 election. However, it is becoming pretty clear that there is a significant minority of Ontario voters who will vote for a party that will restore their freedom and put an end to lock-downs, mask-mandates, etc..

Given that Kathleen Wynne’s Liberals won a majority government with the support of only 19.9% of eligible voters, it cannot be denied that a party again could win and form a majority government with the support of only 19.9%. Given the Wynne Liberals’ performance in 2018, it cannot be denied that some party could win 7 seats with the support of only 11.1% of eligible voters.

 

The electoral power of a motivated minority

Now, ask yourself this. Is it possible that, by the time of the June 2022 provincial election, at least 19.9% of eligible voters will be willing to vote against all parties who supported lockdowns, mask mandates, mandatory vaccinations, vaccination passports, bans on travel etc.? Is it possible that at least 19.9% of eligible voters will vote for a party that can be trusted to put an immediate end to lock-downs, mask mandates and other abuses of government power? Is it likely that any of those voters will trust the Progressive Conservatives (or Liberals, NDPs, or Greens) not to impose lockdowns, mask-mandates etc. again?  As the old saying goes: “Fool me once, Doug Ford, shame on you.  Fool me twice, shame on me.”  Anyone who, sick of the anti-freedom Wynne Liberals, thought Doug Ford’s PCs were somehow principled and reliable defenders of individual freedom has been burned and disillusioned.  They’re not about to be used by Doug Ford’s PCs again.

You, and the many people you’ve seen opposing these abusive policies have the power to end all of this. You do not need the numbers you think you need. Ontario’s own Wizard of Oz – Doug Ford – has turned out to be nothing more than a completely unqualified sticker salesman, hiding behind a curtain while the media have given him credit for relinquishing the power of the Premier’s office to a “command table” of non-scientific, leftist policy wonks; revolutionary wonks, aided by a handful of useful idiots willing to compromise the integrity of their university degrees (e.g., “I’ve got a degree in medicine, so I’m an expert at moral philosophy, justice, economics, and law-enforcement).  The notion that Ford or his party are “great and powerful” is all smoke and mirrors, facilitated by Establishment media who hope that you never realize that Ontario’s system of government allows a motivated minority to form the next government; that it allows David to take down Goliath, because Goliath, in truth, never is as mighty or supported as the media tells you he is.

The election of 2022 does not have to be a replacement of one oppressive government with another one. Opponents of the current abuse – you, me, and all friends of freedom – spread the news! An end to all of this is possible with much less electoral support than almost anyone would believe.

 

Rally with the reliable voice of Freedom in election 2022

In terms of which party to elect, the choice is clear.  From the outset of the Coronavirus issue, Freedom Party has consistently opposed draconian lockdowns, mandatory mask-wearing, and other draconian measures.  In my capacity as the leader of the Freedom Party, I warned as early as March 22, 2020 that the forces of the left would use Coronavirus as an excuse to violate the lives, liberties, and properties of Ontarians.  I have consistently opposed the Ford government’s responses to Coronavirus with videos, articles, radio appearances, and in social media.  Freedom Party president, Robert Metz, likewise, has tirelessly brought to listeners of his weekly global radio broadcast, Just Right, the information that thoughtful people need to distinguish facts from false-news.  Moreover, unlike every other political party in Ontario, Freedom Party has a massive online Archive of its audio, video, and written communications spanning 41 years: we do not hide anything we’ve said or done, so you can see for yourself that Freedom Party has remained Ontario’s advocate for a government that defends your life, liberty, and property, and has consistently opposed attacks on your freedom and your pursuit of your own happiness.  Have a look at Freedom Party’s archive entries over the last 13 months, and you will have the evidence you need to feel confident that a Freedom Party government will immediately put an end to lock-downs, mandatory masking, mandatory vaccination, and “vaccination passports”.

 

To win in 2022: ACT NOW!

The next election is just 14 months away. Now is the time to find a Freedom Party candidate for your riding (or to volunteer to be the candidate…just call Freedom Party to get the ball rolling: 519-681-3999 ). Now is the time to start or increase those monthly (tax creditable) contributions to Freedom Party, so that the party has the money it needs to buy election signs and ads. Now is the time to promote Freedom Party in your social media postings (start by sharing this article, now).

Armed with the knowledge that Ontario is almost certain to have enough anti-lockdown/pro-freedom support by the time of the next election, now is the time for restored confidence, for an end to pessimism, and for an end to that feeling of hopelessness. Now is the time for all of us to put aside disagreements on other things, and to band together, as Freedom Party, to put an end to the madness, and to make the pursuit of happiness in this province possible once again.  Start now!

{Paul McKeever is the leader of the Freedom Party of Ontario.  He has been interviewed on TV and radio about Freedom Party and individual freedom and capitalism numerous times since 1999 (see the Archive).  He has spoken and marched with thousands at pro-freedom events.  He produced the 2010 documentary “The Principle of Pot” (you can watch it on youtube).  Since 1997, he has been an employment lawyer by profession, having represented clients in the Superior Court of Justice, the Divisional Court, the Court of Appeal, the Human Rights Tribunal of Ontario, and the Ontario Labour Relations Board.  Currently, he also is writing a book on philosophy and individual freedom.}